Olympique de Marseille 3:2 Olympique Lyonnais: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 01/03/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Olympique de Marseille Home 2.00 xG · 18 shots

Olympique Lyonnais Away 1.20 xG · 12 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

3' Corentin Tolisso Olympique Lyonnais · 0.16 xG chance 0–1
52' Igor Paixão Olympique de Marseille · 0.02 xG chance 1–1
76' Rémi Himbert Olympique Lyonnais · 0.05 xG chance 1–2
81' Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Olympique de Marseille · 0.24 xG chance 2–2
90' Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Olympique de Marseille · 0.83 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Olympique de Marseille Olympique Lyonnais

Shots: 18; 12
On target: 7; 6
Inside the box: 12; 10
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.12
Open play xG: 1.45; 1.44
Set-piece xG: 0.49; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Olympique de Marseille's shots add up to 1.94 xG and Olympique Lyonnais's to 1.44; the published figures are 2.00 and 1.20.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 3.38 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Olympique de Marseille
Olympique Lyonnais
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Olympique de Marseille

1.68 xG created 1.81 xGA

W 3.28 created, 0.94 conceded against Angers
W 0.88 created, 0.91 conceded against RC Lens
D 2.41 created, 1.76 conceded against Paris FC
L 0.66 created, 4.14 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
D 1.43 created, 1.97 conceded against RC Strasbourg
L 1.42 created, 1.13 conceded against Stade Brestois

Olympique Lyonnais

1.28 xG created 1.10 xGA

W 1.53 created, 0.69 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 2.55 created, 1.28 conceded against Metz
W 0.54 created, 0.48 conceded against Lille
W 1.21 created, 0.73 conceded against Nantes
W 1.52 created, 1.26 conceded against Nice
L 0.34 created, 2.15 conceded against RC Strasbourg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Olympique de Marseille: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Olympique Lyonnais 1:0 Olympique de Marseille 31/08/2025 xG 2.27 – 0.77

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.