Olympique de Marseille 3:1 RC Lens: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 21:05

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Olympique de Marseille Home 0.88 xG · 10 shots

RC Lens Away 0.91 xG · 7 shots

31 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

3' Amine Gouiri Olympique de Marseille · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
13' Ethan Nwaneri Olympique de Marseille · 0.08 xG chance 2–0
75' Amine Gouiri Olympique de Marseille · 0.49 xG chance 3–0
85' Rayan Fofana RC Lens · 0.49 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Olympique de Marseille RC Lens

Shots: 10; 7
On target: 5; 2
Inside the box: 4; 5
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.79; 0.89
Set-piece xG: 0.10; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.88 for Olympique de Marseille and 0.91 for RC Lens.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

17 shots · 1.78 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Olympique de Marseille
RC Lens
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Olympique de Marseille

1.84 xG created 1.50 xGA

W 2.86 created, 1.19 conceded against Nice
D 1.80 created, 0.70 conceded against Toulouse
L 0.53 created, 0.35 conceded against Lille
W 1.79 created, 2.21 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.75 created, 3.63 conceded against Nantes
W 3.28 created, 0.94 conceded against Angers

RC Lens

2.03 xG created 0.80 xGA

W 1.92 created, 0.46 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 2.05 created, 1.16 conceded against Angers
W 2.30 created, 1.19 conceded against Nantes
W 1.65 created, 0.76 conceded against Nice
W 1.62 created, 0.66 conceded against Toulouse
W 2.66 created, 0.55 conceded against Auxerre

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Olympique de Marseille: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

RC Lens 2:1 Olympique de Marseille 25/10/2025 xG 1.80 – 0.66

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.