Stade Brestois 1:2 RC Strasbourg: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Wednesday, 13/05/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Stade Brestois Home 3.06 xG · 21 shots

RC Strasbourg Away 2.02 xG · 10 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

9' Valentín Barco RC Strasbourg · 0.97 xG chance 0–1
13' Ludovic Ajorque Stade Brestois · 0.29 xG chance 1–1
20' Sebastian Nanasi RC Strasbourg · 0.44 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Stade Brestois RC Strasbourg

Shots: 21; 10
On target: 6; 5
Inside the box: 16; 7
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.19
Open play xG: 1.75; 1.83
Set-piece xG: 1.31; 0.03
Penalties: —; —

RC Strasbourg's shots add up to 1.86 xG; the published figure is 2.02.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 4.92 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Stade Brestois
RC Strasbourg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stade Brestois

0.63 xG created 1.86 xGA

L 0.91 created, 1.22 conceded against Auxerre
L 1.22 created, 2.89 conceded against Stade Rennais
D 0.42 created, 0.92 conceded against Nantes
D 0.25 created, 2.76 conceded against RC Lens
L 0.79 created, 1.86 conceded against Paris FC
L 0.17 created, 1.49 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain

RC Strasbourg

1.53 xG created 1.75 xGA

W 2.12 created, 1.67 conceded against Nantes
W 2.26 created, 0.32 conceded against Nice
L 1.00 created, 4.25 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 1.34 created, 2.28 conceded against Lorient
L 0.41 created, 1.36 conceded against Toulouse
D 2.02 created, 0.59 conceded against Angers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stade Brestois: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

RC Strasbourg 1:2 Stade Brestois 30/11/2025 xG 0.80 – 1.05

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.