Stade Brestois 3:4 Stade Rennais: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 04/04/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Stade Brestois Home 1.22 xG · 10 shots

Stade Rennais Away 2.89 xG · 15 shots

34 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

4' Eric Ebimbe Stade Brestois · 0.22 xG chance 1–0
20' Ludovic Blas Stade Rennais · 0.16 xG chance 1–1
35' Esteban Lepaul (pen.) Stade Rennais · 0.82 xG chance 1–2
57' Eric Ebimbe Stade Brestois · 0.16 xG chance 2–2
63' Breel Embolo Stade Rennais · 0.39 xG chance 2–3
70' Remy Labeau Lascary Stade Brestois · 0.47 xG chance 3–3
74' Esteban Lepaul (pen.) Stade Rennais · 0.82 xG chance 3–4

The shots behind it

Stade Brestois Stade Rennais

Shots: 10; 15
On target: 4; 7
Inside the box: 8; 11
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.20
Open play xG: 0.84; 1.07
Set-piece xG: 0.33; 0.26
Penalties: 0; 2

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.21 for Stade Brestois and 1.32 for Stade Rennais.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 4.14 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Stade Brestois
Stade Rennais
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stade Brestois

1.02 xG created 1.46 xGA

D 0.68 created, 1.54 conceded against Lille
W 1.13 created, 1.42 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
W 0.87 created, 1.27 conceded against Metz
W 1.09 created, 0.94 conceded against Le Havre
L 1.41 created, 2.36 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.91 created, 1.22 conceded against Auxerre

Stade Rennais

1.27 xG created 1.48 xGA

W 1.36 created, 3.62 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
W 0.98 created, 0.65 conceded against Auxerre
W 0.92 created, 0.49 conceded against Toulouse
W 1.66 created, 2.15 conceded against Nice
L 1.18 created, 1.63 conceded against Lille
D 1.52 created, 0.33 conceded against Metz

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stade Brestois: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Stade Rennais 3:1 Stade Brestois 13/12/2025 xG 2.23 – 0.82

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.