Metz 0:1 Stade Brestois: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 01/03/2026 at 17:15

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Match report · Ligue 1

Metz Home 1.27 xG · 24 shots

Stade Brestois Away 0.87 xG · 6 shots

01 The result went against the chances

Goals

69' Ludovic Ajorque Stade Brestois · 0.35 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Metz Stade Brestois

Shots: 24; 6
On target: 6; 1
Inside the box: 12; 3
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.69; 0.86
Set-piece xG: 0.61; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Metz's shots add up to 1.30 xG and Stade Brestois's to 0.86; the published figures are 1.27 and 0.87.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 2.16 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Metz
Stade Brestois
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Metz

0.74 xG created 1.64 xGA

L 1.08 created, 1.12 conceded against RC Strasbourg
L 1.28 created, 2.55 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
L 0.45 created, 1.62 conceded against Angers
D 0.63 created, 1.65 conceded against Lille
L 0.93 created, 0.78 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.08 created, 2.13 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain

Stade Brestois

1.15 xG created 1.16 xGA

L 0.69 created, 1.53 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
L 0.99 created, 0.37 conceded against Toulouse
D 1.69 created, 1.35 conceded against Nice
W 1.71 created, 0.77 conceded against Lorient
D 0.68 created, 1.54 conceded against Lille
W 1.13 created, 1.42 conceded against Olympique de Marseille

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Metz: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Stade Brestois 3:2 Metz 23/11/2025 xG 3.11 – 1.05

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.