Stade Rennais 1:2 Lille: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 15/03/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Stade Rennais Home 1.18 xG · 12 shots

Lille Away 1.63 xG · 8 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

2' Matías Fernández-Pardo Lille · 0.32 xG chance 0–1
47' Hakon Arnar Haraldsson Lille · 0.90 xG chance 0–2
59' Esteban Lepaul Stade Rennais · 0.20 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Stade Rennais Lille

Shots: 12; 8
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 7; 6
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.21
Open play xG: 1.02; 1.46
Set-piece xG: 0.16; 0.19
Penalties: —; —

Lille's shots add up to 1.65 xG; the published figure is 1.63.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 2.83 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Stade Rennais
Lille
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stade Rennais

1.11 xG created 1.70 xGA

L 0.38 created, 2.12 conceded against AS Monaco
L 1.38 created, 1.18 conceded against RC Lens
W 1.36 created, 3.62 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
W 0.98 created, 0.65 conceded against Auxerre
W 0.92 created, 0.49 conceded against Toulouse
W 1.66 created, 2.15 conceded against Nice

Lille

1.16 xG created 0.48 xGA

L 0.48 created, 0.54 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
D 1.65 created, 0.63 conceded against Metz
D 1.54 created, 0.68 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 2.25 created, 0.38 conceded against Angers
W 0.51 created, 0.21 conceded against Nantes
D 0.51 created, 0.45 conceded against Lorient

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stade Rennais: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Lille 0:2 Stade Rennais 03/01/2026 xG 0.85 – 1.57

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.