Lille 1:0 Nantes: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 01/03/2026 at 17:15

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Lille Home 0.51 xG · 9 shots

Nantes Away 0.21 xG · 3 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

90' Nathan Ngoy Lille · 0.09 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Lille Nantes

Shots: 9; 3
On target: 3; 1
Inside the box: 7; 1
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.27; 0.22
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.51 for Lille and 0.21 for Nantes.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

12 shots · 0.72 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lille
Nantes
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lille

1.49 xG created 1.11 xGA

L 1.14 created, 1.40 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 1.86 created, 3.00 conceded against RC Strasbourg
L 0.48 created, 0.54 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
D 1.65 created, 0.63 conceded against Metz
D 1.54 created, 0.68 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 2.25 created, 0.38 conceded against Angers

Nantes

1.00 xG created 0.95 xGA

L 0.36 created, 0.97 conceded against Paris FC
L 1.59 created, 0.87 conceded against Nice
L 1.05 created, 0.55 conceded against Lorient
L 0.73 created, 1.21 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
L 0.93 created, 1.53 conceded against AS Monaco
W 1.32 created, 0.58 conceded against Le Havre

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Lille: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Nantes 0:2 Lille 19/10/2025 xG 0.45 – 2.60

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.