Lille 1:4 RC Strasbourg: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 25/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Lille Home 1.86 xG · 20 shots

RC Strasbourg Away 3.00 xG · 15 shots

14 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

25' Joaquin Panichelli RC Strasbourg · 0.13 xG chance 0–1
26' Julio Enciso RC Strasbourg · 0.42 xG chance 0–2
58' Martial Godo RC Strasbourg · 0.92 xG chance 0–3
72' Martial Godo RC Strasbourg · 0.61 xG chance 0–4
90' Matías Fernández-Pardo Lille · 0.14 xG chance 1–4

The shots behind it

Lille RC Strasbourg

Shots: 20; 15
On target: 6; 6
Inside the box: 17; 11
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.19
Open play xG: 1.48; 2.82
Set-piece xG: 0.42; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Lille's shots add up to 1.90 xG and RC Strasbourg's to 2.89; the published figures are 1.86 and 3.00.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

35 shots · 4.79 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lille
RC Strasbourg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lille

1.42 xG created 1.53 xGA

W 4.03 created, 1.52 conceded against Paris FC
W 1.62 created, 1.18 conceded against Le Havre
W 0.35 created, 0.53 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
W 0.52 created, 2.97 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.85 created, 1.57 conceded against Stade Rennais
L 1.14 created, 1.40 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain

RC Strasbourg

0.75 xG created 1.31 xGA

L 0.46 created, 1.92 conceded against RC Lens
L 0.80 created, 1.05 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 0.05 created, 0.50 conceded against Toulouse
D 0.69 created, 0.53 conceded against Lorient
D 1.35 created, 2.75 conceded against Nice
W 1.12 created, 1.08 conceded against Metz

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Lille: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

RC Strasbourg 2:0 Lille 09/11/2025 xG 1.07 – 0.28

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.