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Fixtures

Toulouse fixtures 2026/2027

Toulouse · Ligue 1 2026/2027 →

What Toulouse have left to play in Ligue 1 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.

Fixture outlook

29 matches ahead in Ligue 1

Run difficulty 2.9 of 5 Balanced
Projected xG / match 1.52
Projected xGA / match 1.48
Projected xPts 40.4 / 87

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

What the fixtures say

The run of 29 matches ahead of Toulouse in Ligue 1 rates 2.9 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 6 of them rate easier than balanced, and 3 of them rate harder than balanced. The model expects 1.52 projected xG a match from them and 40.4 of the 87 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Paris Saint-Germain away, banded 5 of 5 — Very difficult, against an attack rated 89/99 and a defence rated 81/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.

The run at a glance

One cell per fixture in the run, soonest first, with its difficulty band under the opponent: 1 is the most favourable and 5 the least. An empty slot is a fixture with no band, and the cell says why.

The first 10 of the 29 matches in this run. The list below carries every one of them.

Kindest fixture

Angers home Sat 02/01

2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 37/99

Projected xG 1.77 – 1.14 Toulouse win 51%

Toughest fixture

Paris Saint-Germain away Sat 29/05

5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 89/99, defence 81/99

Projected xG 1.08 – 2.28 Toulouse win 14%

  • Open the match page for AS Monaco

    Sat 10/10 Away AS Monaco Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 65/99
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.46 Projected xPts 1.19
  • Open the match page for Le Mans

    Fri 16/10 Away Le Mans Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 47/99, defence 39/99
    Projected xG 1.47 – 1.55 Projected xPts 1.30
  • Open the match page for Troyes

    Sat 24/10 Home Troyes Ligue 1

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 20/99
    Projected xG 1.98 – 1.34 Projected xPts 1.79
  • Open the match page for Olympique de Marseille

    Sun 01/11 Away Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 63/99, defence 28/99
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.77 Projected xPts 1.24
  • Open the match page for RC Strasbourg

    Fri 06/11 Home RC Strasbourg Ligue 1

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 40/99, defence 38/99
    Projected xG 1.76 – 1.22 Projected xPts 1.74
  • Open the match page for RC Lens

    Sat 21/11 Away RC Lens Ligue 1

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 80/99, defence 52/99
    Projected xG 1.36 – 2.05 Projected xPts 0.93
  • Open the match page for Stade Rennais

    Sun 29/11 Home Stade Rennais Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 32/99
    Projected xG 1.82 – 1.47 Projected xPts 1.61
  • Open the match page for Paris Saint-Germain

    Sat 05/12 Home Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 89/99, defence 81/99
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.92 Projected xPts 0.94
  • Open the match page for Auxerre

    Sat 12/12 Away Auxerre Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 49/99
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.30 Projected xPts 1.41
  • Open the match page for Angers

    Sat 02/01 Home Angers Ligue 1

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 37/99
    Projected xG 1.77 – 1.14 Projected xPts 1.80
  • Open the match page for Paris FC

    Sat 16/01 Away Paris FC Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 70/99
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.49 Projected xPts 1.13
  • Open the match page for Nice

    Sat 23/01 Home Nice Ligue 1

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 36/99
    Projected xG 1.78 – 1.16 Projected xPts 1.80
  • Open the match page for RC Lens

    Sat 30/01 Home RC Lens Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 80/99, defence 52/99
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.72 Projected xPts 1.29
  • Open the match page for Le Havre

    Sat 06/02 Away Le Havre Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 45/99
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.50 Projected xPts 1.30
  • Open the match page for AS Monaco

    Sat 13/02 Home AS Monaco Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 65/99
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.23 Projected xPts 1.53
  • Open the match page for Stade Rennais

    Sat 20/02 Away Stade Rennais Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 32/99
    Projected xG 1.54 – 1.75 Projected xPts 1.23
  • Open the match page for Olympique Lyonnais

    Sat 27/02 Away Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 65/99
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.59 Projected xPts 1.12
  • Open the match page for Le Mans

    Sat 06/03 Home Le Mans Ligue 1

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 47/99, defence 39/99
    Projected xG 1.74 – 1.30 Projected xPts 1.67
  • Open the match page for Nice

    Sat 13/03 Away Nice Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 36/99
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.44
  • Open the match page for Stade Brestois

    Sat 20/03 Home Stade Brestois Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 61/99
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.46
  • Open the match page for RC Strasbourg

    Sat 03/04 Away RC Strasbourg Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 40/99, defence 38/99
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.45 Projected xPts 1.38
  • Open the match page for Lille

    Sat 10/04 Away Lille Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 73/99
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.47 Projected xPts 1.13
  • Open the match page for Paris FC

    Sat 17/04 Home Paris FC Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 70/99
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.26 Projected xPts 1.47
  • Open the match page for Troyes

    Sat 24/04 Away Troyes Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 20/99
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.60 Projected xPts 1.42
  • Open the match page for Olympique de Marseille

    Sat 01/05 Home Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 63/99, defence 28/99
    Projected xG 1.87 – 1.49 Projected xPts 1.62
  • Open the match page for Angers

    Sat 08/05 Away Angers Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 37/99
    Projected xG 1.49 – 1.36 Projected xPts 1.45
  • Open the match page for Lorient

    Sun 16/05 Home Lorient Ligue 1

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 69/99
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.07 Projected xPts 1.63
  • Open the match page for Auxerre

    Sat 22/05 Home Auxerre Ligue 1

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 49/99
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.09 Projected xPts 1.75
  • Open the match page for Paris Saint-Germain

    Sat 29/05 Away Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1

    5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 89/99, defence 81/99
    Projected xG 1.08 – 2.28 Projected xPts 0.63

The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Ligue 1.

Fixture difficulty in Ligue 1

Reads each matchup for Toulouse: the band is cut from the model's chances of Toulouse winning and losing the match, so Toulouse's own strength and home advantage are in it.

2.9 Toulouse's run 3.0 the competition's average

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

Upcoming opponent strength

tied number 17 hardest of 18 in Ligue 1

−0.13 xG vs league average

Over 5 upcoming league fixtures

Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Ligue 1's average club, with no venue and nothing of Toulouse's own strength in it.

Opponents behind the figure

Upcoming

−0.13 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · tied number 17 hardest of 18

  1. AS Monaco Away +0.02
  2. Le Mans Away −0.13
  3. Troyes Home −0.28
  4. Olympique de Marseille Away −0.04
  5. RC Strasbourg Home −0.22

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

About these numbers

What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's

Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.

Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Ligue 1 and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.

Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.

The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.

Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.

xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.

The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.

How the model and every figure here are made →

How the model works →

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