xgEdge

Saturday, 30/08/2025 at 19:30

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Match report · NB I (Hungary)

Újpest 1:2 MTK Budapest

Újpest Home 1.59 xG
MTK Budapest Away 0.31 xG
12 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Újpest MTK Budapest
Shots
24
8
On target
4
3
Inside the box
11
3
xG per shot
0.07
0.04

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Újpest

1.37 xG created 1.43 xGA

  • W 1.53 created, 1.21 conceded against Diósgyőri VTK
  • D 0.57 created, 2.24 conceded against ETO FC Győr
  • L 1.03 created, 1.75 conceded against Paksi FC
  • L 0.82 created, 0.51 conceded against Kisvárda FC
  • W 2.88 created, 1.43 conceded against Zalaegerszegi TE
MTK Budapest

2.00 xG created 1.56 xGA

  • D 0.74 created, 0.99 conceded against Ferencváros TC
  • L 1.76 created, 1.10 conceded against Debreceni VSC
  • W 2.54 created, 0.81 conceded against Diósgyőri VTK
  • L 0.88 created, 2.23 conceded against ETO FC Győr
  • L 4.07 created, 2.67 conceded against Paksi FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.