xgEdge

Monday, 03/08/2026 at 20:15

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Match report · Parva Liga (Bulgaria)

FK Spartak Varna 1:0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv

FK Spartak Varna Home 0.44 xG
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Away 0.80 xG
10 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

FK Spartak Varna Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Shots
5
7
On target
2
0
Inside the box
2
5
xG per shot
0.09
0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FK Spartak Varna

1.66 xG created 1.60 xGA

  • D 0.39 created, 2.26 conceded against FK Dobrudzha Dobrich
  • W 2.53 created, 0.69 conceded against Slavia Sofia
  • L 0.99 created, 1.65 conceded against FK Septemvri Sofia
  • W 3.68 created, 0.27 conceded against PFK Montana 1921
  • D 0.79 created, 2.80 conceded against FC CSKA 1948 Sofia
  • W 1.60 created, 1.94 conceded against Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1.23 xG created 1.47 xGA

  • W 0.93 created, 0.54 conceded against Botev Plovdiv
  • W 0.75 created, 0.96 conceded against Arda Kardzhali
  • L 1.32 created, 0.53 conceded against Cherno More Varna
  • L 0.50 created, 3.10 conceded against Arda Kardzhali
  • L 1.91 created, 0.96 conceded against Ludogorets
  • W 1.96 created, 2.72 conceded against FK Septemvri Sofia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.