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Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 16:30

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Match report · Parva Liga (Bulgaria)

Ludogorets 1:1 FK Spartak Varna

Ludogorets Home 2.51 xG
FK Spartak Varna Away 0.61 xG
11 Ludogorets had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Ludogorets FK Spartak Varna
Shots
21
10
On target
4
3
Inside the box
13
5
xG per shot
0.12
0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Ludogorets

1.49 xG created 0.58 xGA

  • D 1.36 created, 0.46 conceded against Lokomotiv Sofia
  • W 2.00 created, 0.42 conceded against Botev Plovdiv
  • D 1.91 created, 0.40 conceded against Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  • D 0.38 created, 0.92 conceded against Levski Sofia
  • W 2.84 created, 0.31 conceded against PFK Montana 1921
  • D 0.45 created, 0.98 conceded against CSKA Sofia
FK Spartak Varna

1.20 xG created 1.34 xGA

  • D 0.73 created, 0.62 conceded against Lokomotiv Sofia
  • L 1.39 created, 1.71 conceded against Lokomotiv Plovdiv
  • W 1.93 created, 0.42 conceded against Arda Kardzhali
  • W 0.62 created, 2.79 conceded against PFK Montana 1921
  • D 1.64 created, 1.33 conceded against Slavia Sofia
  • D 0.89 created, 1.19 conceded against FC CSKA 1948 Sofia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.