Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 Manchester City: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 31/08/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion Home 2.30 xG · 12 shots

Manchester City Away 1.82 xG · 12 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

34' Erling Haaland Manchester City · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
67' James Milner (pen.) Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
89' Brajan Gruda Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.74 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Brighton & Hove Albion Manchester City

Shots: 12; 12
On target: 7; 3
Inside the box: 10; 8
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.15
Open play xG: 1.17; 1.66
Set-piece xG: 0.36; 0.14
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.51 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.82 for Manchester City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 4.15 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.96 xG created 1.18 xGA

D 1.48 created, 0.76 conceded against Fulham
L 2.43 created, 1.60 conceded against Everton

Manchester City

2.01 xG created 0.84 xGA

W 2.47 created, 0.56 conceded against Wolverhampton
L 1.55 created, 1.11 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.