xgEdge
Premier League

Premier League fixtures 2026/2027

Next up Arsenal v Leeds United

Every Premier League match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 10/10/2026

6 matches
  • Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.58 – 0.84
    →
  • Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.46
    →
  • Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.44
    →
  • Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.46 – 1.31
    →
  • Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.45
    Tight
    →
  • Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.84 – 0.99
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 11/10/2026

3 matches
  • Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.26
    →
  • Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.27
    Tight
    →
  • Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.54 – 1.40
    →

Monday, 12/10/2026

1 match
  • Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.63 – 1.17
    →

Saturday, 17/10/2026

5 matches
  • Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.32
    →
  • Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.04 – 1.23
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.57 – 1.19
    →
  • Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.47 – 1.37
    →
  • Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.47 – 1.36
    →

Sunday, 18/10/2026

4 matches
  • Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.55
    →
  • Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.88 – 1.13
    →
  • Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.52 – 1.23
    →
  • Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.05 – 1.28
    →

Monday, 19/10/2026

1 match
  • Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.13
    →

Friday, 23/10/2026

1 match
  • Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.35
    →

Saturday, 24/10/2026

4 matches
  • Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.34 – 1.67
    →
  • Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.37
    Tight
    →
  • Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.62 – 0.90
    →
  • Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.54 – 1.12
    →

Sunday, 25/10/2026

5 matches
  • Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.75 – 1.17
    →
  • Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.38
    →
  • Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.33
    →
  • Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.16
    →
  • Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.14
    →

Saturday, 31/10/2026

9 matches
  • Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.55
    →
  • Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.51
    →
  • Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.88 – 1.46
    →
  • Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.27
    →
  • Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.37
    Tight
    →
  • Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.28
    →
  • Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.12
    →
  • Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.11
    →
  • Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.44 – 1.42
    Tight
    →

Sunday, 01/11/2026

1 match
  • Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.12 – 1.19
    Tight
    →

Friday, 06/11/2026

1 match
  • Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.17
    →

Saturday, 07/11/2026

4 matches
  • Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.11
    →
  • Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.88 – 1.16
    →
  • Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.57 – 0.81
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.51
    Tight
    →

Sunday, 08/11/2026

5 matches
  • Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.24
    →
  • Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.43
    Tight
    →
  • Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.23 – 1.36
    →
  • Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.90 – 1.35
    →
  • Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.02 – 1.03
    Clear favourite
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.

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