xgEdge

Every Premier League match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 19/12/2026

10 matches
  • Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.68 – 1.16
    →
  • Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.92 – 1.16
    →
  • Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 2.00 – 1.29
    →
  • Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.65 – 1.07
    →
  • Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.25
    →
  • Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.42 – 1.09
    →
  • Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.63 – 1.08
    →
  • Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.85 – 1.10
    →
  • Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.01
    →
  • Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.49 – 1.32
    →

Saturday, 26/12/2026

7 matches
  • Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.39 – 1.28
    →
  • Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.57
    Tight
    →
  • Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.60 – 1.47
    →
  • Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.29
    Tight
    →
  • Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.34
    →
  • Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.31
    Tight
    →
  • Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.82
    →

Sunday, 27/12/2026

3 matches
  • Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.35
    Tight
    →
  • Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.82 – 1.11
    →
  • Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 0.95 – 1.35
    →

Tuesday, 29/12/2026

3 matches
  • Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.35 – 1.50
    →
  • Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.18
    →
  • Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.58
    →

Wednesday, 30/12/2026

7 matches
  • Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.80 – 1.17
    →
  • Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.33 – 1.46
    →
  • Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.35
    Tight
    →
  • Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.40
    Tight
    →
  • Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.12 – 1.36
    →
  • Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.43
    →
  • Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.41
    →

Friday, 01/01/2027

1 match
  • Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.47 – 1.28
    →

Saturday, 02/01/2027

7 matches
  • Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.56
    →
  • Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.04
    →
  • Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.17
    →
  • Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.56 – 1.10
    →
  • Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.73 – 0.90
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.55 – 1.29
    →
  • Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.08
    →

Sunday, 03/01/2027

2 matches
  • Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.84 – 1.13
    →
  • Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.84 – 1.07
    Clear favourite
    →

Tuesday, 05/01/2027

5 matches
  • Arsenal Arsenal, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Brentford Brentford, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.64 – 0.94
    →
  • Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Win
    Bournemouth Bournemouth, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.72 – 1.32
    →
  • Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Hull City Hull City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.48 – 1.12
    →
  • Everton Everton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Aston Villa Aston Villa, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.66 – 1.18
    →
  • Sunderland Sunderland, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Liverpool Liverpool, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.27
    →

Wednesday, 06/01/2027

4 matches
  • Ipswich Town Ipswich Town, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss
    Coventry City Coventry City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.25
    →
  • Fulham Fulham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw
    Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.57 – 1.15
    →
  • Crystal Palace Crystal Palace, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Draw
    Chelsea Chelsea, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.33
    Tight
    →
  • Leeds United Leeds United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Draw
    Manchester City Manchester City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.55
    →

Thursday, 07/01/2027

1 match
  • Manchester United Manchester United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Newcastle United Newcastle United, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.20 – 1.01
    Clear favourite
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.