xgEdge

Club

Arsenal 2026/2027

Premier League 2026/2027 →

Arsenal right now

Arsenal have made a strong start and sit 2nd in Premier League. A +4.45 xG difference backs up 12 points from 5 matches, which suggests the results rest on strong underlying performances. They have taken 1.64 more points than their chances were worth (10.36), so the table flatters them. Their defence rates 1st of 20 in Premier League for the chances it allows an average opponent.

How Arsenal compares

Open the match page for Leeds United

Next match Premier League · Sat 10/10

Home Leeds United

1.58 Projected expected goals 0.84
Model probability
Arsenal
54%
Draw
29%
Leeds United
17%

Data coverage: Full

Open the match page for Brighton & Hove Albion

Last result Premier League · Sat 19/09

Away Brighton & Hove Albion

0:3 Loss

Expected goals
1.63 – 1.31
xG difference
+0.32

Lost despite creating more

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
3.0 0.0 Fri 21/08 Sat 19/09 Fri 21/08 Coventry City · Expected goals 1.88 Mon 31/08 Aston Villa · Expected goals 1.04 Sun 06/09 Chelsea · Expected goals 2.05 Sat 12/09 Sunderland · Expected goals 1.88 Sat 19/09 Brighton & Hove Albion · Expected goals 1.63 Fri 21/08 Coventry City · Expected goals conceded 0.20 Mon 31/08 Aston Villa · Expected goals conceded 0.33 Sun 06/09 Chelsea · Expected goals conceded 0.39 Sat 12/09 Sunderland · Expected goals conceded 1.80 Sat 19/09 Brighton & Hove Albion · Expected goals conceded 1.31
The season so far 5 matches, as they add up +4.45 xG difference +0.89 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: Arsenal's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Fri 21/08 Coventry City Home 3:0 1.88 0.20 +1.68 3
Mon 31/08 Aston Villa Away 1:0 1.04 0.33 +0.71 1
Sun 06/09 Chelsea Home 2:1 2.05 0.39 +1.66 2
Sat 12/09 Sunderland Away 2:0 1.88 1.80 +0.08 2
Sat 19/09 Brighton & Hove Albion Away 0:3 1.63 1.31 +0.32 0
The season so far 8.48 4.03 8

Finishing

-0.48

Goals vs xG

Defending

-0.03

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

+1.64

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

Key players

Bukayo Saka F 4.05 158 min · 2G · xG 3.11 · xA 0.94
Martin Ødegaard M 2.34 147 min · 1G · xG 1.02 · xA 1.32
Kai Havertz F 1.96 180 min · 1G · xG 1.61 · xA 0.35
Riccardo Calafiori D 1.24 171 min · 0G · xG 0.64 · xA 0.60
xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Premier League 2026/2027 How the model works →