Everton 2:4 Brentford: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 04/01/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Everton Home 0.89 xG · 14 shots

Brentford Away 2.66 xG · 11 shots

24 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

11' Igor Thiago Brentford · 0.48 xG chance 0–1
50' Nathan Collins Brentford · 0.29 xG chance 0–2
51' Igor Thiago Brentford · 0.43 xG chance 0–3
66' Beto Everton · 0.05 xG chance 1–3
88' Igor Thiago Brentford · 0.43 xG chance 1–4
90' Thierno Barry Everton · 0.10 xG chance 2–4

The shots behind it

Everton Brentford

Shots: 14; 11
On target: 6; 7
Inside the box: 11; 9
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.25
Open play xG: 0.50; 2.42
Set-piece xG: 0.37; 0.30
Penalties: —; —

Everton's shots add up to 0.87 xG and Brentford's to 2.72; the published figures are 0.89 and 2.66.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 3.59 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Everton
Brentford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Everton

0.96 xG created 1.35 xGA

W 1.35 created, 0.57 conceded against Bournemouth
W 1.12 created, 0.53 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.03 created, 2.20 conceded against Chelsea
L 0.20 created, 1.81 conceded against Arsenal
D 0.82 created, 1.41 conceded against Burnley
W 1.26 created, 1.55 conceded against Nottingham Forest

Brentford

1.20 xG created 1.72 xGA

L 0.35 created, 1.77 conceded against Arsenal
L 0.29 created, 2.18 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
D 0.72 created, 1.52 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.28 created, 1.27 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 3.66 created, 2.72 conceded against Bournemouth
D 0.92 created, 0.86 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.