Brentford 4:1 Bournemouth: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 27/12/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Brentford Home 3.66 xG · 16 shots

Bournemouth Away 2.72 xG · 20 shots

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

7' Kevin Schade Brentford · 0.33 xG chance 1–0
39' Đorđe Petrović (o.g.) Brentford · 0.44 xG chance 2–0
51' Kevin Schade Brentford · 0.55 xG chance 3–0
75' Antoine Semenyo Bournemouth · 0.58 xG chance 3–1
90' Kevin Schade Brentford · 0.55 xG chance 4–1

The shots behind it

Brentford Bournemouth

Shots: 16; 20
On target: 8; 10
Inside the box: 10; 13
xG per shot: 0.25; 0.13
Open play xG: 3.70; 1.59
Set-piece xG: 0.28; 1.09
Penalties: —; —

Brentford's shots add up to 3.98 xG and Bournemouth's to 2.68; the published figures are 3.66 and 2.72.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

36 shots · 6.66 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Brentford
Bournemouth
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Brentford

1.27 xG created 1.49 xGA

L 1.91 created, 1.22 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 3.06 created, 0.95 conceded against Burnley
L 0.35 created, 1.77 conceded against Arsenal
L 0.29 created, 2.18 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
D 0.72 created, 1.52 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.28 created, 1.27 conceded against Wolverhampton

Bournemouth

1.85 xG created 1.33 xGA

D 4.05 created, 0.65 conceded against West Ham United
L 1.70 created, 1.28 conceded against Sunderland
L 0.57 created, 1.35 conceded against Everton
D 1.42 created, 0.92 conceded against Chelsea
D 1.94 created, 3.40 conceded against Manchester United
D 1.41 created, 0.38 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.