xgEdge

Monday, 15/12/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · Premier League

Manchester United 4:4 Bournemouth

Manchester United Home 3.40 xG · 25 shots
Bournemouth Away 1.94 xG · 14 shots
44 Manchester United had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 13' Amad Diallo Manchester United · 0.92 xG chance 1–0
  2. 40' Antoine Semenyo Bournemouth · 0.12 xG chance 1–1
  3. 45' Casemiro Manchester United · 0.18 xG chance 2–1
  4. 46' Evanilson Bournemouth · 0.30 xG chance 2–2
  5. 52' Marcus Tavernier Bournemouth · 0.12 xG chance 2–3
  6. 77' Bruno Fernandes Manchester United · 0.07 xG chance 3–3
  7. 79' Matheus Cunha Manchester United · 0.61 xG chance 4–3
  8. 84' Eli Junior Kroupi Bournemouth · 0.22 xG chance 4–4

The shots behind it

Manchester United Bournemouth
Shots
25
14
On target
9
9
Inside the box
18
9
xG per shot
0.13
0.15
Open play xG
2.84
1.64
Set-piece xG
0.52
0.40
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.40 for Manchester United and 2.03 for Bournemouth.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 13' · Goal · 1 m · 0.92 xG Bournemouth · Marcus Tavernier · 29' · No goal · 4 m · 0.64 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 79' · Goal · 10 m · 0.61 xG Bournemouth · Evanilson · 46' · Goal · 14 m · 0.30 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 34' · No goal · 10 m · 0.23 xG Bournemouth · Eli Junior Kroupi · 84' · Goal · 13 m · 0.22 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 45' · Goal · 4 m · 0.18 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 8' · No goal · 4 m · 0.16 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 36' · No goal · 10 m · 0.16 xG Bournemouth · David Brooks · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.16 xG Bournemouth · Marcus Tavernier · 29' · No goal · 7 m · 0.14 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 70' · No goal · 9 m · 0.14 xG Bournemouth · Antoine Semenyo · 40' · Goal · 10 m · 0.12 xG Bournemouth · Marcus Tavernier · 52' · Goal · 22 m · 0.12 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 45' · No goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Bournemouth · David Brooks · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.11 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 9' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 19' · No goal · 17 m · 0.10 xG Bournemouth · Alex Scott · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.10 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 26' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 64' · No goal · 18 m · 0.09 xG Manchester United · Mason Mount · 8' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Manchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 77' · Goal · 21 m · 0.07 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 39' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 2' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 7' · No goal · 6 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 23' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 75' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 9' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Bournemouth · Evanilson · 31' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Bournemouth · Justin Kluivert · 32' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Bournemouth · Alex Scott · 82' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 2' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 25' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Bournemouth · Marcus Tavernier · 45' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 70' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG Bournemouth · Marcos Senesi · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 90' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 87' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

39 shots · 5.40 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Manchester United
  • Bournemouth
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Manchester United

1.79 xG created 1.03 xGA

  • D 1.15 created, 2.00 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • D 0.63 created, 0.92 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 1.71 created, 0.21 conceded against Everton
  • W 1.19 created, 1.83 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • D 1.80 created, 0.79 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 4.24 created, 0.41 conceded against Wolverhampton
Bournemouth

1.68 xG created 1.35 xGA

  • L 0.72 created, 2.22 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 1.61 created, 1.70 conceded against Aston Villa
  • D 4.05 created, 0.65 conceded against West Ham United
  • L 1.70 created, 1.28 conceded against Sunderland
  • L 0.57 created, 1.35 conceded against Everton
  • D 1.42 created, 0.92 conceded against Chelsea

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.