xgEdge

Thursday, 04/12/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · Premier League

Manchester United 1:1 West Ham United

Manchester United Home 1.80 xG · 17 shots
West Ham United Away 0.79 xG · 11 shots
11 Manchester United had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 58' Diogo Dalot Manchester United · 0.28 xG chance 1–0
  2. 83' Soungoutou Magassa West Ham United · 0.25 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Manchester United West Ham United
Shots
17
11
On target
4
3
Inside the box
13
10
xG per shot
0.11
0.08
Open play xG
1.81
0.38
Set-piece xG
0.07
0.49
Penalties
—
—

Manchester United's shots add up to 1.88 xG and West Ham United's to 0.87; the published figures are 1.80 and 0.79.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Manchester United · Joshua Zirkzee · 28' · No goal · 5 m · 0.55 xG Manchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 90' · No goal · 5 m · 0.29 xG Manchester United · Diogo Dalot · 58' · Goal · 10 m · 0.28 xG West Ham United · Soungoutou Magassa · 83' · Goal · 8 m · 0.25 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 73' · No goal · 14 m · 0.18 xG West Ham United · Jarrod Bowen · 83' · No goal · 4 m · 0.14 xG West Ham United · Mateus Fernandes · 6' · No goal · 19 m · 0.11 xG Manchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.11 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 28' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG West Ham United · Jarrod Bowen · 35' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG West Ham United · Jean-Clair Todibo · 9' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 9' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG West Ham United · El Hadji Malick Diouf · 19' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 28' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Matheus Cunha · 31' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Joshua Zirkzee · 43' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 82' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG West Ham United · Mohamadou Kanté · 87' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 34' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG West Ham United · Soungoutou Magassa · 57' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG West Ham United · Jarrod Bowen · 75' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG West Ham United · Jarrod Bowen · 18' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 66' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG West Ham United · Freddie Potts · 70' · No goal · 7 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 39' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 24' · No goal · 14 m · 0.01 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 58' · No goal · 23 m · 0.01 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 74' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

28 shots · 2.75 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Manchester United
  • West Ham United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Manchester United

1.22 xG created 1.47 xGA

  • W 1.34 created, 2.75 conceded against Liverpool
  • W 1.29 created, 1.12 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • D 1.15 created, 2.00 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • D 0.63 created, 0.92 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 1.71 created, 0.21 conceded against Everton
  • W 1.19 created, 1.83 conceded against Crystal Palace
West Ham United

1.12 xG created 1.78 xGA

  • L 0.33 created, 2.31 conceded against Brentford
  • L 0.65 created, 1.49 conceded against Leeds United
  • W 1.75 created, 0.52 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 3.02 created, 1.06 conceded against Burnley
  • D 0.65 created, 4.05 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 0.29 created, 1.24 conceded against Liverpool

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.