xgEdge

Sunday, 30/11/2025 at 13:00

Full time
Match report · Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:2 Manchester United

Crystal Palace Home 1.83 xG · 14 shots
Manchester United Away 1.19 xG · 14 shots
12 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 36' Jean-Philippe Mateta (pen.) Crystal Palace · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
  2. 54' Joshua Zirkzee Manchester United · 0.03 xG chance 1–1
  3. 63' Mason Mount Manchester United · 0.02 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Crystal Palace Manchester United
Shots
14
14
On target
3
6
Inside the box
11
8
xG per shot
0.13
0.10
Open play xG
0.67
0.21
Set-piece xG
0.36
1.13
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.03 for Crystal Palace and 1.36 for Manchester United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Crystal Palace · Jean-Philippe Mateta · 36' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 1' · No goal · 1 m · 0.47 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 1' · No goal · 3 m · 0.32 xG Crystal Palace · Yéremy Pino · 26' · No goal · 9 m · 0.18 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 10' · No goal · 8 m · 0.14 xG Crystal Palace · Jean-Philippe Mateta · 15' · No goal · 16 m · 0.14 xG Crystal Palace · Adam Wharton · 13' · No goal · 15 m · 0.13 xG Crystal Palace · Daichi Kamada · 24' · No goal · 16 m · 0.12 xG Crystal Palace · Eddie Nketiah · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG Crystal Palace · Maxence Lacroix · 21' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Manchester United · Matthijs de Ligt · 7' · No goal · 4 m · 0.07 xG Manchester United · Mason Mount · 82' · No goal · 13 m · 0.07 xG Crystal Palace · Jean-Philippe Mateta · 61' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Crystal Palace · Justin Devenny · 90' · No goal · 23 m · 0.06 xG Manchester United · Diogo Dalot · 41' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 77' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Crystal Palace · Eddie Nketiah · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Crystal Palace · Chris Richards · 20' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Crystal Palace · Eddie Nketiah · 69' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 47' · No goal · 30 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Joshua Zirkzee · 54' · Goal · 4 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 65' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Manchester United · Diogo Dalot · 76' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Crystal Palace · Jean-Philippe Mateta · 8' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Crystal Palace · Eddie Nketiah · 57' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Mason Mount · 63' · Goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 84' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 42' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

28 shots · 3.19 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Crystal Palace
  • Manchester United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Crystal Palace

1.52 xG created 1.28 xGA

  • L 1.53 created, 2.03 conceded against Everton
  • D 4.44 created, 2.03 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 0.45 created, 0.92 conceded against Arsenal
  • W 0.70 created, 0.54 conceded against Brentford
  • D 0.75 created, 0.39 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W 1.27 created, 1.79 conceded against Wolverhampton
Manchester United

1.33 xG created 1.29 xGA

  • W 1.88 created, 0.71 conceded against Sunderland
  • W 1.34 created, 2.75 conceded against Liverpool
  • W 1.29 created, 1.12 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • D 1.15 created, 2.00 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • D 0.63 created, 0.92 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 1.71 created, 0.21 conceded against Everton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.