West Ham United 3:1 Newcastle United: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 02/11/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

West Ham United Home 1.75 xG · 16 shots

Newcastle United Away 0.52 xG · 12 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

4' Jacob Murphy Newcastle United · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
35' Lucas Paquetá West Ham United · 0.01 xG chance 1–1
45' Sven Botman (o.g.) West Ham United · 0.10 xG chance 2–1
90' Tomáš Souček West Ham United · 0.91 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

West Ham United Newcastle United

Shots: 16; 12
On target: 10; 4
Inside the box: 10; 6
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.04
Open play xG: 2.67; 0.45
Set-piece xG: 0.18; 0.01
Penalties: —; —

West Ham United's shots add up to 2.85 xG and Newcastle United's to 0.46; the published figures are 1.75 and 0.52.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.31 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

West Ham United
Newcastle United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

West Ham United

0.65 xG created 1.82 xGA

L 0.60 created, 1.29 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
L 0.66 created, 2.31 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 1.19 created, 0.73 conceded against Everton
L 0.49 created, 2.77 conceded against Arsenal
L 0.33 created, 2.31 conceded against Brentford
L 0.65 created, 1.49 conceded against Leeds United

Newcastle United

1.53 xG created 0.96 xGA

W 1.55 created, 0.50 conceded against Wolverhampton
D 0.14 created, 0.46 conceded against Bournemouth
L 0.61 created, 2.04 conceded against Arsenal
W 3.28 created, 0.29 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.45 created, 0.91 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 2.14 created, 1.53 conceded against Fulham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.