Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 16:00
Full timeBrighton & Hove Albion 2:1 Newcastle United
Goals
- 41' Danny Welbeck Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.59 xG chance 1–0
- 76' Nick Woltemade Newcastle United · 0.12 xG chance 1–1
- 84' Danny Welbeck Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.11 xG chance 2–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 13
- 16
- On target
- 5
- 3
- Inside the box
- 6
- 10
- xG per shot
- 0.08
- 0.09
- Open play xG
- 0.99
- 0.86
- Set-piece xG
- 0.03
- 0.56
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.03 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.39 for Newcastle United.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
29 shots · 2.44 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- Brighton & Hove Albion
- Newcastle United
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.64 xG created 1.41 xGA
- L 2.43 created, 1.60 conceded against Everton
- W 2.30 created, 1.82 conceded against Manchester City
- L 0.62 created, 1.45 conceded against Bournemouth
- D 1.32 created, 1.22 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
- W 2.28 created, 1.81 conceded against Chelsea
- D 0.92 created, 0.56 conceded against Wolverhampton
1.17 xG created 0.78 xGA
- L 0.98 created, 0.69 conceded against Liverpool
- D 0.46 created, 0.69 conceded against Leeds United
- W 1.55 created, 0.50 conceded against Wolverhampton
- D 0.14 created, 0.46 conceded against Bournemouth
- L 0.61 created, 2.04 conceded against Arsenal
- W 3.28 created, 0.29 conceded against Nottingham Forest
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.