Wolverhampton 1:1 Brighton & Hove Albion: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 05/10/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Wolverhampton Home 0.56 xG · 7 shots

Brighton & Hove Albion Away 0.92 xG · 17 shots

11 Brighton & Hove Albion had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

21' Bart Verbruggen (o.g.) Wolverhampton 1–0
86' Jan Paul van Hecke Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.12 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Wolverhampton Brighton & Hove Albion

Shots: 7; 17
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 4; 10
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.41; 0.50
Set-piece xG: 0.12; 0.40
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.56 for Wolverhampton and 0.92 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 1.43 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Wolverhampton
Brighton & Hove Albion
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Wolverhampton

0.93 xG created 1.43 xGA

L 0.56 created, 2.47 conceded against Manchester City
L 0.46 created, 1.29 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.11 created, 1.93 conceded against Everton
L 0.50 created, 1.55 conceded against Newcastle United
L 1.78 created, 0.48 conceded against Leeds United
D 1.15 created, 0.87 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.74 xG created 1.44 xGA

D 1.48 created, 0.76 conceded against Fulham
L 2.43 created, 1.60 conceded against Everton
W 2.30 created, 1.82 conceded against Manchester City
L 0.62 created, 1.45 conceded against Bournemouth
D 1.32 created, 1.22 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 2.28 created, 1.81 conceded against Chelsea

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.