xgEdge

Friday, 24/10/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · Premier League

Leeds United 2:1 West Ham United

Leeds United Home 1.49 xG · 13 shots
West Ham United Away 0.65 xG · 9 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 3' Brenden Aaronson Leeds United · 0.38 xG chance 1–0
  2. 15' Joe Rodon Leeds United · 0.26 xG chance 2–0
  3. 90' Mateus Fernandes West Ham United · 0.08 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Leeds United West Ham United
Shots
13
9
On target
5
3
Inside the box
8
4
xG per shot
0.12
0.07
Open play xG
1.25
0.65
Set-piece xG
0.29
0.02
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.53 for Leeds United and 0.65 for West Ham United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Leeds United · Brenden Aaronson · 3' · Goal · 3 m · 0.38 xG Leeds United · Joe Rodon · 15' · Goal · 5 m · 0.26 xG West Ham United · Tomáš Souček · 45' · No goal · 5 m · 0.25 xG Leeds United · Ethan Ampadu · 39' · No goal · 16 m · 0.14 xG Leeds United · Brenden Aaronson · 32' · No goal · 9 m · 0.13 xG Leeds United · Noah Okafor · 3' · No goal · 7 m · 0.11 xG Leeds United · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 57' · No goal · 6 m · 0.10 xG Leeds United · Ethan Ampadu · 45' · No goal · 39 m · 0.09 xG Leeds United · Noah Okafor · 45' · No goal · 11 m · 0.09 xG West Ham United · Lucas Paquetá · 65' · No goal · 20 m · 0.09 xG West Ham United · Callum Wilson · 74' · No goal · 8 m · 0.09 xG Leeds United · Brenden Aaronson · 59' · No goal · 23 m · 0.08 xG West Ham United · Mateus Fernandes · 90' · Goal · 11 m · 0.08 xG West Ham United · Jarrod Bowen · 10' · No goal · 11 m · 0.07 xG Leeds United · Ao Tanaka · 30' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Leeds United · Jack Harrison · 62' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG West Ham United · Jarrod Bowen · 37' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Leeds United · Jayden Bogle · 45' · No goal · 3 m · 0.03 xG Leeds United · Jack Harrison · 60' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG West Ham United · El Hadji Malick Diouf · 78' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG West Ham United · El Hadji Malick Diouf · 83' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG West Ham United · Mateus Fernandes · 84' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

22 shots · 2.21 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Leeds United
  • West Ham United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Leeds United

1.35 xG created 0.82 xGA

  • D 0.69 created, 0.46 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 0.79 created, 0.85 conceded against Fulham
  • W 0.48 created, 1.78 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • D 1.84 created, 0.82 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 1.68 created, 0.53 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 2.63 created, 0.45 conceded against Burnley
West Ham United

0.95 xG created 1.69 xGA

  • W 2.42 created, 0.73 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • L 0.60 created, 1.29 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 0.66 created, 2.31 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • D 1.19 created, 0.73 conceded against Everton
  • L 0.49 created, 2.77 conceded against Arsenal
  • L 0.33 created, 2.31 conceded against Brentford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.