xgEdge

Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Premier League

Burnley 2:0 Leeds United

Burnley Home 0.45 xG · 4 shots
Leeds United Away 2.63 xG · 19 shots
20 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 18' Lesley Ugochukwu Burnley · 0.36 xG chance 1–0
  2. 68' Loum Tchaouna Burnley · 0.02 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Burnley Leeds United
Shots
4
19
On target
3
4
Inside the box
1
17
xG per shot
0.11
0.14
Open play xG
0.04
2.25
Set-piece xG
0.39
0.41
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.45 for Burnley and 2.63 for Leeds United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Leeds United · Lukas Nmecha · 80' · No goal · 3 m · 0.72 xG Leeds United · Jayden Bogle · 71' · No goal · 1 m · 0.44 xG Burnley · Lesley Ugochukwu · 18' · Goal · 7 m · 0.36 xG Leeds United · Brenden Aaronson · 32' · No goal · 11 m · 0.32 xG Leeds United · Pascal Struijk · 85' · No goal · 9 m · 0.15 xG Leeds United · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 70' · No goal · 5 m · 0.14 xG Leeds United · Joël Piroe · 87' · No goal · 11 m · 0.13 xG Leeds United · Ethan Ampadu · 80' · No goal · 12 m · 0.12 xG Leeds United · Anton Stach · 41' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG Leeds United · Jack Harrison · 59' · No goal · 11 m · 0.09 xG Leeds United · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 11' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Leeds United · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 71' · No goal · 7 m · 0.07 xG Leeds United · Lukas Nmecha · 66' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG Leeds United · Anton Stach · 45' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Leeds United · Jayden Bogle · 36' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Leeds United · Jack Harrison · 64' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Leeds United · Joël Piroe · 79' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Leeds United · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Burnley · Jacob Bruun Larsen · 11' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Burnley · Florentino Luís · 7' · No goal · 30 m · 0.02 xG Burnley · Loum Tchaouna · 68' · Goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Leeds United · Pascal Struijk · 79' · No goal · 10 m · 0.02 xG Leeds United · Joe Rodon · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

23 shots · 3.09 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Burnley
  • Leeds United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Burnley

0.66 xG created 1.88 xGA

  • W 1.00 created, 0.77 conceded against Sunderland
  • L 1.20 created, 3.54 conceded against Manchester United
  • L 0.13 created, 2.65 conceded against Liverpool
  • D 0.85 created, 1.10 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • L 0.41 created, 2.03 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 0.40 created, 1.16 conceded against Aston Villa
Leeds United

0.94 xG created 1.22 xGA

  • L 0.17 created, 2.88 conceded against Arsenal
  • D 0.69 created, 0.46 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 0.79 created, 0.85 conceded against Fulham
  • W 0.48 created, 1.78 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • D 1.84 created, 0.82 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 1.68 created, 0.53 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.