xgEdge

Saturday, 27/12/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Premier League

Liverpool 2:1 Wolverhampton

Liverpool Home 1.54 xG · 14 shots
Wolverhampton Away 1.07 xG · 9 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 41' Ryan Gravenberch Liverpool · 0.13 xG chance 1–0
  2. 42' Florian Wirtz Liverpool · 0.64 xG chance 2–0
  3. 52' Santiago Bueno Wolverhampton · 0.72 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Liverpool Wolverhampton
Shots
14
9
On target
4
4
Inside the box
11
4
xG per shot
0.11
0.14
Open play xG
1.37
0.38
Set-piece xG
0.14
0.88
Penalties
—
—

Liverpool's shots add up to 1.51 xG and Wolverhampton's to 1.26; the published figures are 1.54 and 1.07.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wolverhampton · Santiago Bueno · 52' · Goal · 5 m · 0.72 xG Liverpool · Florian Wirtz · 42' · Goal · 8 m · 0.64 xG Wolverhampton · Tolu Arokodare · 51' · No goal · 6 m · 0.15 xG Wolverhampton · Tolu Arokodare · 77' · No goal · 9 m · 0.15 xG Liverpool · Ryan Gravenberch · 41' · Goal · 12 m · 0.13 xG Liverpool · Hugo Ekitiké · 11' · No goal · 13 m · 0.12 xG Liverpool · Curtis Jones · 65' · No goal · 18 m · 0.10 xG Liverpool · Alexis Mac Allister · 74' · No goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG Liverpool · Hugo Ekitiké · 19' · No goal · 10 m · 0.09 xG Wolverhampton · Hwang Hee-chan · 49' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Liverpool · Florian Wirtz · 61' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Liverpool · Ryan Gravenberch · 67' · No goal · 12 m · 0.08 xG Wolverhampton · Mateus Mané · 17' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Wolverhampton · Tolu Arokodare · 83' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Liverpool · Ryan Gravenberch · 12' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Liverpool · Hugo Ekitiké · 26' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Wolverhampton · Mateus Mané · 32' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Liverpool · Miloš Kerkez · 37' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Liverpool · Alexis Mac Allister · 71' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Liverpool · Cody Gakpo · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Liverpool · Hugo Ekitiké · 29' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Wolverhampton · Mateus Mané · 74' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Wolverhampton · Mateus Mané · 45' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

23 shots · 2.77 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Liverpool
  • Wolverhampton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Liverpool

1.52 xG created 1.13 xGA

  • L 1.93 created, 1.58 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • W 1.24 created, 0.29 conceded against West Ham United
  • D 1.46 created, 0.42 conceded against Sunderland
  • D 1.91 created, 1.51 conceded against Leeds United
  • W 1.89 created, 1.90 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W 0.66 created, 1.07 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
Wolverhampton

0.88 xG created 1.60 xGA

  • L 1.79 created, 1.27 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • L 0.49 created, 0.94 conceded against Aston Villa
  • L 0.91 created, 0.74 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • L 0.41 created, 4.24 conceded against Manchester United
  • L 0.38 created, 1.13 conceded against Arsenal
  • L 1.27 created, 1.28 conceded against Brentford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.