xgEdge

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Premier League

Liverpool 0:3 Nottingham Forest

Liverpool Home 1.93 xG · 21 shots
Nottingham Forest Away 1.58 xG · 15 shots
03 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 33' Murillo Nottingham Forest · 0.12 xG chance 0–1
  2. 46' Nicolò Savona Nottingham Forest · 0.45 xG chance 0–2
  3. 78' Morgan Gibbs-White Nottingham Forest · 0.19 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Liverpool Nottingham Forest
Shots
21
15
On target
4
7
Inside the box
16
9
xG per shot
0.09
0.11
Open play xG
1.83
0.92
Set-piece xG
0.12
0.70
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.93 for Liverpool and 1.61 for Nottingham Forest.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Nottingham Forest · Nicolò Savona · 46' · Goal · 10 m · 0.45 xG Liverpool · Alexis Mac Allister · 8' · No goal · 9 m · 0.30 xG Nottingham Forest · Omari Hutchinson · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.21 xG Liverpool · Alexander Isak · 64' · No goal · 13 m · 0.20 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 78' · Goal · 13 m · 0.19 xG Liverpool · Alexis Mac Allister · 8' · No goal · 10 m · 0.18 xG Liverpool · Miloš Kerkez · 16' · No goal · 8 m · 0.18 xG Liverpool · Cody Gakpo · 24' · No goal · 8 m · 0.18 xG Nottingham Forest · Omari Hutchinson · 78' · No goal · 10 m · 0.16 xG Liverpool · Federico Chiesa · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.16 xG Nottingham Forest · Dan Ndoye · 64' · No goal · 11 m · 0.13 xG Nottingham Forest · Murillo · 33' · Goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Liverpool · Cody Gakpo · 84' · No goal · 8 m · 0.12 xG Liverpool · Federico Chiesa · 82' · No goal · 15 m · 0.10 xG Nottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 64' · No goal · 22 m · 0.07 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 72' · No goal · 26 m · 0.07 xG Liverpool · Cody Gakpo · 30' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Liverpool · Alexis Mac Allister · 42' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG Liverpool · Mohamed Salah · 63' · No goal · 13 m · 0.06 xG Liverpool · Mohamed Salah · 45' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG Liverpool · Mohamed Salah · 84' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Liverpool · Federico Chiesa · 90' · No goal · 6 m · 0.05 xG Nottingham Forest · Murillo · 4' · No goal · 29 m · 0.04 xG Liverpool · Curtis Jones · 25' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Liverpool · Dominik Szoboszlai · 30' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Liverpool · Mohamed Salah · 60' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 67' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Murillo · 26' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 53' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 76' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Liverpool · Alexis Mac Allister · 82' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Omari Hutchinson · 87' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Nicolás Domínguez · 4' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Liverpool · Virgil van Dijk · 12' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Liverpool · Alexis Mac Allister · 48' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Liverpool · Dominik Szoboszlai · 78' · No goal · 30 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

36 shots · 3.57 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Liverpool
  • Nottingham Forest
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Liverpool

1.82 xG created 1.66 xGA

  • L 2.14 created, 2.92 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • L 1.95 created, 1.00 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 2.75 created, 1.34 conceded against Manchester United
  • L 2.30 created, 2.75 conceded against Brentford
  • W 1.19 created, 0.41 conceded against Aston Villa
  • L 0.61 created, 1.51 conceded against Manchester City
Nottingham Forest

1.54 xG created 1.43 xGA

  • L 1.65 created, 1.19 conceded against Sunderland
  • L 0.29 created, 3.28 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 2.35 created, 1.67 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 0.37 created, 0.58 conceded against Bournemouth
  • D 2.00 created, 1.15 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 2.55 created, 0.69 conceded against Leeds United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.