Bournemouth 2:0 Nottingham Forest: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 26/10/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Bournemouth Home 0.58 xG · 13 shots

Nottingham Forest Away 0.37 xG · 8 shots

20 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

25' Marcus Tavernier Bournemouth · 0.00 xG chance 1–0
40' Eli Junior Kroupi Bournemouth · 0.03 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Bournemouth Nottingham Forest

Shots: 13; 8
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 5; 3
xG per shot: 0.04; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.55; 0.24
Set-piece xG: 0.00; 0.13
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.58 for Bournemouth.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 0.92 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bournemouth

1.24 xG created 1.35 xGA

W 1.59 created, 0.19 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 1.45 created, 0.62 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
D 0.46 created, 0.14 conceded against Newcastle United
D 0.82 created, 1.84 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.12 created, 0.88 conceded against Fulham
D 2.03 created, 4.44 conceded against Crystal Palace

Nottingham Forest

1.05 xG created 1.88 xGA

L 0.73 created, 2.42 conceded against West Ham United
L 0.20 created, 1.84 conceded against Arsenal
D 1.10 created, 0.85 conceded against Burnley
L 1.65 created, 1.19 conceded against Sunderland
L 0.29 created, 3.28 conceded against Newcastle United
L 2.35 created, 1.67 conceded against Chelsea

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.