Arsenal 3:0 Nottingham Forest: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 13/09/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Arsenal Home 1.84 xG · 16 shots

Nottingham Forest Away 0.20 xG · 5 shots

30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

32' Martín Zubimendi Arsenal · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
46' Viktor Gyökeres Arsenal · 0.44 xG chance 2–0
79' Martín Zubimendi Arsenal · 0.09 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Arsenal Nottingham Forest

Shots: 16; 5
On target: 5; 1
Inside the box: 12; 3
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.04
Open play xG: 0.99; 0.17
Set-piece xG: 0.85; 0.02
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.20 for Nottingham Forest.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.03 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Arsenal

1.56 xG created 0.74 xGA

W 1.31 created, 1.52 conceded against Manchester United
W 2.88 created, 0.17 conceded against Leeds United
L 0.49 created, 0.52 conceded against Liverpool

Nottingham Forest

1.17 xG created 1.67 xGA

W 1.86 created, 1.50 conceded against Brentford
D 0.93 created, 1.10 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 0.73 created, 2.42 conceded against West Ham United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.