Brentford 3:2 Liverpool: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Brentford Home 2.75 xG · 17 shots

Liverpool Away 2.30 xG · 18 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

5' Dango Ouattara Brentford · 0.30 xG chance 1–0
45' Kevin Schade Brentford · 0.65 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
45' Miloš Kerkez Liverpool · 0.57 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
60' Igor Thiago (pen.) Brentford · 0.82 xG chance 3–1
89' Mohamed Salah Liverpool · 0.11 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Brentford Liverpool

Shots: 17; 18
On target: 8; 5
Inside the box: 12; 12
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.43; 2.22
Set-piece xG: 0.51; 0.06
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.97 for Brentford and 2.30 for Liverpool.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

35 shots · 5.04 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Brentford
Liverpool
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Brentford

1.37 xG created 1.17 xGA

L 1.20 created, 1.54 conceded against Sunderland
D 1.43 created, 1.25 conceded against Chelsea
L 0.60 created, 1.01 conceded against Fulham
W 1.99 created, 2.03 conceded against Manchester United
L 0.70 created, 0.85 conceded against Manchester City
W 2.31 created, 0.33 conceded against West Ham United

Liverpool

1.82 xG created 1.10 xGA

W 0.52 created, 0.49 conceded against Arsenal
W 2.65 created, 0.13 conceded against Burnley
W 0.90 created, 0.70 conceded against Everton
L 2.14 created, 2.92 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 1.95 created, 1.00 conceded against Chelsea
L 2.75 created, 1.34 conceded against Manchester United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.