Fulham 3:1 Brentford: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Fulham Home 1.01 xG · 15 shots

Brentford Away 0.60 xG · 8 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

20' Mikkel Damsgaard Brentford · 0.13 xG chance 0–1
38' Alex Iwobi Fulham · 0.14 xG chance 1–1
40' Harry Wilson Fulham · 0.19 xG chance 2–1
50' Ethan Pinnock (o.g.) Fulham 3–1

The shots behind it

Fulham Brentford

Shots: 15; 8
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 8; 8
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.75; 0.32
Set-piece xG: 0.30; 0.28
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.01 for Fulham.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 1.65 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fulham
Brentford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fulham

1.10 xG created 1.56 xGA

D 0.76 created, 1.48 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
D 1.76 created, 1.63 conceded against Manchester United
L 1.02 created, 2.35 conceded against Chelsea
W 0.85 created, 0.79 conceded against Leeds United

Brentford

1.35 xG created 1.47 xGA

L 1.50 created, 1.86 conceded against Nottingham Forest
W 1.27 created, 1.23 conceded against Aston Villa
L 1.20 created, 1.54 conceded against Sunderland
D 1.43 created, 1.25 conceded against Chelsea

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.