Brentford 2:2 Chelsea: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 13/09/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Brentford Home 1.43 xG · 7 shots

Chelsea Away 1.25 xG · 16 shots

22 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

35' Kevin Schade Brentford · 0.20 xG chance 1–0
61' Cole Palmer Chelsea · 0.19 xG chance 1–1
85' Moisés Caicedo Chelsea · 0.07 xG chance 1–2
90' Fabio Carvalho Brentford · 0.64 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Brentford Chelsea

Shots: 7; 16
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 7; 10
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.55; 1.14
Set-piece xG: 0.80; 0.11
Penalties: —; —

Brentford's shots add up to 1.35 xG; the published figure is 1.43.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Brentford
Chelsea
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Brentford

1.32 xG created 1.54 xGA

L 1.50 created, 1.86 conceded against Nottingham Forest
W 1.27 created, 1.23 conceded against Aston Villa
L 1.20 created, 1.54 conceded against Sunderland

Chelsea

2.23 xG created 0.80 xGA

D 1.60 created, 0.66 conceded against Crystal Palace
W 2.74 created, 0.73 conceded against West Ham United
W 2.35 created, 1.02 conceded against Fulham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.