xgEdge

Saturday, 23/08/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Premier League

Brentford 1:0 Aston Villa

Brentford Home 1.27 xG · 9 shots
Aston Villa Away 1.23 xG · 17 shots
10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 13' Dango Ouattara Brentford · 0.51 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Brentford Aston Villa
Shots
9
17
On target
2
2
Inside the box
8
12
xG per shot
0.17
0.07
Open play xG
1.20
1.00
Set-piece xG
0.32
0.23
Penalties
—
—

Brentford's shots add up to 1.52 xG; the published figure is 1.27.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Brentford · Dango Ouattara · 12' · No goal · 10 m · 0.53 xG Brentford · Dango Ouattara · 13' · Goal · 5 m · 0.51 xG Aston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 81' · No goal · 8 m · 0.27 xG Aston Villa · Amadou Onana · 57' · No goal · 15 m · 0.20 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 52' · No goal · 11 m · 0.16 xG Brentford · Kevin Schade · 27' · No goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG Brentford · Igor Thiago · 77' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Brentford · Igor Thiago · 26' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG Brentford · Igor Thiago · 27' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Aston Villa · Tyrone Mings · 38' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Aston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 63' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG Brentford · Mikkel Damsgaard · 3' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG Aston Villa · Tyrone Mings · 31' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Aston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 70' · No goal · 13 m · 0.06 xG Brentford · Jordan Henderson · 26' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Aston Villa · John McGinn · 31' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Aston Villa · Pau Torres · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Aston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 49' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Aston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 89' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Aston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 45' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 55' · No goal · 26 m · 0.04 xG Brentford · Yehor Yarmoliuk · 27' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Aston Villa · Youri Tielemans · 31' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Aston Villa · Youri Tielemans · 19' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG Aston Villa · Amadou Onana · 60' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Aston Villa · Ian Maatsen · 78' · No goal · 20 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

26 shots · 2.75 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Brentford
  • Aston Villa
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Brentford

1.50 xG created 1.86 xGA

  • L 1.50 created, 1.86 conceded against Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa

0.20 xG created 1.43 xGA

  • D 0.20 created, 1.43 conceded against Newcastle United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.