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Sunday, 05/10/2025 at 17:30

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Match report · Premier League

Brentford 0:1 Manchester City

Brentford Home 0.70 xG · 6 shots
Manchester City Away 0.85 xG · 10 shots
01 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 9' Erling Haaland Manchester City · 0.23 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Brentford Manchester City
Shots
6
10
On target
1
4
Inside the box
4
6
xG per shot
0.12
0.08
Open play xG
0.56
0.73
Set-piece xG
0.16
0.06
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.70 for Brentford and 0.78 for Manchester City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Brentford · Igor Thiago · 48' · No goal · 16 m · 0.48 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 9' · Goal · 10 m · 0.23 xG Manchester City · Tijjani Reijnders · 39' · No goal · 10 m · 0.16 xG Manchester City · Phil Foden · 31' · No goal · 12 m · 0.12 xG Brentford · Vitaly Janelt · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.11 xG Manchester City · Phil Foden · 29' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Manchester City · Joško Gvardiol · 8' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Brentford · Igor Thiago · 36' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Manchester City · Phil Foden · 19' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Manchester City · Oscar Bobb · 53' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Brentford · Aaron Hickey · 90' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Manchester City · Phil Foden · 7' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Manchester City · Phil Foden · 27' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Brentford · Michael Kayode · 58' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Brentford · Yehor Yarmoliuk · 61' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG Manchester City · Tijjani Reijnders · 15' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

16 shots · 1.51 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Brentford
  • Manchester City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Brentford

1.33 xG created 1.49 xGA

  • L 1.50 created, 1.86 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • W 1.27 created, 1.23 conceded against Aston Villa
  • L 1.20 created, 1.54 conceded against Sunderland
  • D 1.43 created, 1.25 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 0.60 created, 1.01 conceded against Fulham
  • W 1.99 created, 2.03 conceded against Manchester United
Manchester City

1.89 xG created 1.13 xGA

  • W 2.47 created, 0.56 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • L 1.55 created, 1.11 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 1.82 created, 2.30 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W 2.63 created, 1.52 conceded against Manchester United
  • D 0.87 created, 0.89 conceded against Arsenal
  • W 2.03 created, 0.41 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.