xgEdge

Sunday, 14/09/2025 at 17:30

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Match report · Premier League

Manchester City 3:0 Manchester United

Manchester City Home 2.63 xG · 13 shots
Manchester United Away 1.52 xG · 12 shots
30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 18' Phil Foden Manchester City · 0.14 xG chance 1–0
  2. 53' Erling Haaland Manchester City · 0.31 xG chance 2–0
  3. 68' Erling Haaland Manchester City · 0.40 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Manchester City Manchester United
Shots
13
12
On target
6
2
Inside the box
12
7
xG per shot
0.21
0.13
Open play xG
2.69
1.04
Set-piece xG
0.00
0.53
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.68 for Manchester City and 1.51 for Manchester United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 55' · No goal · 4 m · 0.97 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 84' · No goal · 3 m · 0.61 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 85' · No goal · 3 m · 0.49 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 68' · Goal · 14 m · 0.40 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 53' · Goal · 7 m · 0.31 xG Manchester City · Tijjani Reijnders · 75' · No goal · 10 m · 0.27 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 64' · No goal · 10 m · 0.18 xG Manchester City · Phil Foden · 18' · Goal · 8 m · 0.14 xG Manchester City · Phil Foden · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.14 xG Manchester United · Patrick Dorgu · 86' · No goal · 12 m · 0.12 xG Manchester City · Tijjani Reijnders · 24' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Manchester United · Patrick Dorgu · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Manchester United · Amad Diallo · 73' · No goal · 7 m · 0.07 xG Manchester City · Bernardo Silva · 55' · No goal · 5 m · 0.06 xG Manchester City · Nico O'Reilly · 39' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 80' · No goal · 5 m · 0.05 xG Manchester United · Bruno Fernandes · 85' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Manchester United · Benjamin Šeško · 4' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Manchester City · Tijjani Reijnders · 90' · No goal · 4 m · 0.03 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 1' · No goal · 8 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 61' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Manuel Ugarte · 73' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Bryan Mbeumo · 82' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Manchester City · Savinho · 90' · No goal · 1 m · 0.02 xG Manchester United · Casemiro · 90' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

25 shots · 4.26 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Manchester City
  • Manchester United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Manchester City

1.95 xG created 1.32 xGA

  • W 2.47 created, 0.56 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • L 1.55 created, 1.11 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 1.82 created, 2.30 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
Manchester United

2.23 xG created 1.42 xGA

  • L 1.52 created, 1.31 conceded against Arsenal
  • D 1.63 created, 1.76 conceded against Fulham
  • W 3.54 created, 1.20 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.