Arsenal 1:1 Manchester City: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 21/09/2025 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Arsenal Home 0.89 xG · 12 shots

Manchester City Away 0.87 xG · 5 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

9' Erling Haaland Manchester City · 0.45 xG chance 0–1
90' Gabriel Martinelli Arsenal · 0.20 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Arsenal Manchester City

Shots: 12; 5
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 11; 4
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.18
Open play xG: 0.58; 0.92
Set-piece xG: 0.32; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.89 for Arsenal and 0.91 for Manchester City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

17 shots · 1.82 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Arsenal
Manchester City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Arsenal

1.63 xG created 0.60 xGA

W 1.31 created, 1.52 conceded against Manchester United
W 2.88 created, 0.17 conceded against Leeds United
L 0.49 created, 0.52 conceded against Liverpool
W 1.84 created, 0.20 conceded against Nottingham Forest

Manchester City

2.12 xG created 1.37 xGA

W 2.47 created, 0.56 conceded against Wolverhampton
L 1.55 created, 1.11 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
L 1.82 created, 2.30 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 2.63 created, 1.52 conceded against Manchester United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.