Brentford 3:1 Manchester United: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Brentford Home 1.99 xG · 10 shots

Manchester United Away 2.03 xG · 14 shots

31 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

8' Igor Thiago Brentford · 0.20 xG chance 1–0
20' Igor Thiago Brentford · 0.40 xG chance 2–0
26' Benjamin Šeško Manchester United · 0.36 xG chance 2–1
90' Mathias Jensen Brentford · 0.09 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Brentford Manchester United

Shots: 10; 14
On target: 8; 6
Inside the box: 7; 9
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.17
Open play xG: 1.20; 1.23
Set-piece xG: 0.77; 0.35
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.99 for Brentford and 1.54 for Manchester United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 4.37 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Brentford
Manchester United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Brentford

1.20 xG created 1.38 xGA

L 1.50 created, 1.86 conceded against Nottingham Forest
W 1.27 created, 1.23 conceded against Aston Villa
L 1.20 created, 1.54 conceded against Sunderland
D 1.43 created, 1.25 conceded against Chelsea
L 0.60 created, 1.01 conceded against Fulham

Manchester United

2.01 xG created 1.47 xGA

L 1.52 created, 1.31 conceded against Arsenal
D 1.63 created, 1.76 conceded against Fulham
W 3.54 created, 1.20 conceded against Burnley
L 1.52 created, 2.63 conceded against Manchester City
W 1.84 created, 0.43 conceded against Chelsea

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.