Saturday, 29/08/2026 at 17:30
Full timeKalcer Radomlje 0:0 NK Olimpija Ljubljana
NK Olimpija Ljubljana were the model's likeliest winner before kick-off at 47%. It finished 0–0. The biggest difference was NK Olimpija Ljubljana's attack: 2.70 xG against 1.64 projected (+1.06).
The model against the result
- Kalcer Radomlje
- 24%
- Draw
- 29% What happened
- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
- 47%
Data coverage Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Projected vs produced
NK Olimpija Ljubljana produced 1.06 xG more than projected
Projected before kick-off Produced on the night
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 12
- 17
- On target
- 3
- 6
- Inside the box
- 9
- 12
- xG per shot
- 0.11
- 0.16
Recent form
1.46 xG created 1.51 xGA
- W 1.56 created, 1.35 conceded against NŠ Mura
- L 0.84 created, 1.14 conceded against Brinje Grosuplje
- D 1.26 created, 2.75 conceded against FC Koper
- L 2.40 created, 1.31 conceded against NK Bravo
- W 1.66 created, 1.24 conceded against NŠ Mura
- L 1.02 created, 1.28 conceded against NK Aluminij Kidričevo
1.30 xG created 1.41 xGA
- L 1.76 created, 2.44 conceded against NK Bravo
- L 1.12 created, 0.30 conceded against NŠ Mura
- W 2.12 created, 0.56 conceded against NK Aluminij Kidričevo
- L 0.44 created, 1.59 conceded against NK Celje
- D 0.46 created, 0.97 conceded against NK Maribor
- W 1.92 created, 2.62 conceded against NK Nafta Lendava 1903
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- Kalcer Radomlje sample
- 20 matches
- NK Olimpija Ljubljana sample
- 20 matches
- Computed
- 8 hours before kick-off
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.