Aberdeen 1:0 Heart of Midlothian: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Sunday, 23/11/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen Home 0.63 xG

Heart of Midlothian Away 2.81 xG

10 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Aberdeen Heart of Midlothian

Shots: 6; 16
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 3; 13
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.18

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Aberdeen

1.39 xG created 1.44 xGA

L 1.00 created, 2.03 conceded against Motherwell
W 2.95 created, 0.35 conceded against Dundee FC
W 1.83 created, 0.48 conceded against St. Mirren
L 1.64 created, 3.10 conceded against Hibernian
W 0.61 created, 1.36 conceded against Kilmarnock
D 0.33 created, 1.30 conceded against Motherwell

Heart of Midlothian

1.78 xG created 0.61 xGA

W 0.80 created, 0.43 conceded against Hibernian
W 2.85 created, 0.26 conceded against Kilmarnock
W 2.04 created, 1.21 conceded against Celtic
D 1.57 created, 1.01 conceded against St. Mirren
W 2.73 created, 0.27 conceded against Dundee FC
D 0.68 created, 0.46 conceded against Dundee United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Aberdeen: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Heart of Midlothian 2:0 Aberdeen 04/08/2025 xG 1.02 – 1.40

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.