xgEdge

Hibernian right now

Hibernian sit 10th in Scottish Premiership. A +1.38 xG difference sits behind 7 points from 7 matches, which suggests the results have fallen short of fairly even performances. They have scored 4.24 fewer than their 12.24 xG, while conceding close to the 10.86 xG against them. They have taken 3.80 fewer points than their chances were worth (10.80), so the table undersells them.

How Hibernian compares

Open the match page for Dundee United

Next match Scottish Premiership · Sat 10/10

Away Dundee United

1.40 Projected expected goals 1.33
Model probability
Dundee United
37%
Draw
30%
Hibernian
33%

Data coverage: Full

Open the match page for Aberdeen

Last result Scottish Premiership · Sat 19/09

Home Aberdeen

1:1 Draw

Expected goals
1.43 – 0.77
xG difference
+0.66
Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
2.5 0.0 Sun 02/08 Sat 19/09 Sun 02/08 Motherwell · Expected goals 1.92 Sun 09/08 Rangers · Expected goals 1.74 Sun 30/08 Dundee FC · Expected goals 2.42 Thu 03/09 Heart of Midlothian · Expected goals 1.70 Sun 06/09 St. Johnstone · Expected goals 1.72 Tue 15/09 Kilmarnock · Expected goals 1.31 Sat 19/09 Aberdeen · Expected goals 1.43 Sun 02/08 Motherwell · Expected goals conceded 2.00 Sun 09/08 Rangers · Expected goals conceded 2.05 Sun 30/08 Dundee FC · Expected goals conceded 0.78 Thu 03/09 Heart of Midlothian · Expected goals conceded 0.82 Sun 06/09 St. Johnstone · Expected goals conceded 2.49 Tue 15/09 Kilmarnock · Expected goals conceded 1.95 Sat 19/09 Aberdeen · Expected goals conceded 0.77
The season so far 7 matches, as they add up +1.38 xG difference +0.20 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: Hibernian's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sun 02/08 Motherwell Home 1:2 1.92 2.00 -0.08 1
Sun 09/08 Rangers Away 2:1 1.74 2.05 -0.31 2
Sun 30/08 Dundee FC Away 2:1 2.42 0.78 +1.64 2
Thu 03/09 Heart of Midlothian Home 1:3 1.70 0.82 +0.88 1
Sun 06/09 St. Johnstone Away 1:2 1.72 2.49 -0.77 1
Tue 15/09 Kilmarnock Home 0:1 1.31 1.95 -0.64 0
Sat 19/09 Aberdeen Home 1:1 1.43 0.77 +0.66 1
The season so far 12.24 10.86 8

Finishing

-4.24

Goals vs xG

Defending

+0.14

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

-3.80

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

Key players

Martin Boyle F 3.08 378 min · 3G · xG 2.79 · xA 0.29
Nathan Lowe F 2.35 400 min · 1G · xG 2.20 · xA 0.15
Josh Mulligan M 1.98 615 min · 0G · xG 1.37 · xA 0.61
Felix Passlack D 1.70 554 min · 0G · xG 0.29 · xA 1.41
xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Scottish Premiership 2026/2027 How the model works →