Kilmarnock 1:5 Celtic: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Sunday, 09/08/2026 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock Home 0.86 xG · 10 shots

Celtic Away 5.64 xG · 33 shots

15 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

2' Kasper Høgh Celtic · 0.85 xG chance 0–1
33' Kasper Høgh Celtic · 0.14 xG chance 0–2
35' Kasper Høgh Celtic · 0.93 xG chance 0–3
47' Benjamin Nygren Celtic · 0.35 xG chance 0–4
56' Michael Schjønning-Larsen Kilmarnock · 0.07 xG chance 1–4
75' Luke McCowan Celtic · 0.11 xG chance 1–5

The shots behind it

Kilmarnock Celtic

Shots: 10; 33
On target: 6; 16
Inside the box: 10; 29
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.18
Open play xG: 0.43; 5.66
Set-piece xG: 0.44; 0.13
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.86 for Kilmarnock and 5.71 for Celtic.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

43 shots · 6.66 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Kilmarnock
Celtic
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Kilmarnock

1.65 xG created 0.99 xGA

L 0.54 created, 0.47 conceded against Aberdeen
W 1.98 created, 1.82 conceded against Dundee United
W 1.15 created, 0.78 conceded against St. Mirren
W 3.38 created, 0.43 conceded against Dundee FC
W 2.08 created, 0.69 conceded against Livingston
L 0.79 created, 1.76 conceded against St. Johnstone

Celtic

1.96 xG created 0.79 xGA

W 1.20 created, 0.81 conceded against Falkirk FC
W 2.78 created, 0.38 conceded against Hibernian
W 1.04 created, 0.91 conceded against Rangers
W 1.37 created, 1.21 conceded against Motherwell
W 2.82 created, 0.96 conceded against Heart of Midlothian
W 2.55 created, 0.47 conceded against Dundee FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Kilmarnock: 0 won · 0 drawn · 3 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.