xgEdge

Kilmarnock right now

Kilmarnock have made a difficult start and sit 12th in Scottish Premiership. A -9.71 xG difference sits behind 5 points from 7 matches, which suggests the results reflect poor underlying performances. They have scored close to their 6.22 xG, while conceding slightly fewer than the 15.93 xG against them (−0.93). Their attack rates 10th of 12 in Scottish Premiership for the chances it creates against an average opponent.

How Kilmarnock compares

Open the match page for Rangers

Next match Scottish Premiership · Sat 10/10

Away Rangers

2.44 Projected expected goals 0.83
Model probability
Rangers
74%
Draw
18%
Kilmarnock
8%

Data coverage: Full

Open the match page for Heart of Midlothian

Last result Scottish Premiership · Sat 19/09

Home Heart of Midlothian

1:1 Draw

Expected goals
0.23 – 1.78
xG difference
-1.55

A point despite being out-created

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
6.0 0.0 Sun 02/08 Sat 19/09 Sun 02/08 St. Johnstone · Expected goals 0.79 Sun 09/08 Celtic · Expected goals 0.86 Sat 29/08 Dundee United · Expected goals 1.03 Wed 02/09 St. Mirren · Expected goals 0.43 Sat 05/09 Aberdeen · Expected goals 0.93 Tue 15/09 Hibernian · Expected goals 1.95 Sat 19/09 Heart of Midlothian · Expected goals 0.23 Sun 02/08 St. Johnstone · Expected goals conceded 1.76 Sun 09/08 Celtic · Expected goals conceded 5.64 Sat 29/08 Dundee United · Expected goals conceded 3.50 Wed 02/09 St. Mirren · Expected goals conceded 1.09 Sat 05/09 Aberdeen · Expected goals conceded 0.85 Tue 15/09 Hibernian · Expected goals conceded 1.31 Sat 19/09 Heart of Midlothian · Expected goals conceded 1.78
The season so far 7 matches, as they add up -9.71 xG difference -1.39 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: Kilmarnock's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sun 02/08 St. Johnstone Away 3:4 0.79 1.76 -0.97 3
Sun 09/08 Celtic Home 1:5 0.86 5.64 -4.78 1
Sat 29/08 Dundee United Home 0:4 1.03 3.50 -2.47 0
Wed 02/09 St. Mirren Home 0:1 0.43 1.09 -0.66 0
Sat 05/09 Aberdeen Away 0:0 0.93 0.85 +0.08 0
Tue 15/09 Hibernian Away 1:0 1.95 1.31 +0.64 1
Sat 19/09 Heart of Midlothian Home 1:1 0.23 1.78 -1.55 1
The season so far 6.22 15.93 6

Finishing

-0.22

Goals vs xG

Defending

-0.93

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

+0.01

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

Key players

Greg Kiltie M 2.97 619 min · 1G · xG 1.78 · xA 1.19
Joe Hugill F 1.79 630 min · 1G · xG 1.53 · xA 0.26
Tom Lowery M 1.49 610 min · 0G · xG 0.36 · xA 1.13
Michael Schjønning-Larsen D 1.09 614 min · 1G · xG 0.14 · xA 0.95
xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Scottish Premiership 2026/2027 How the model works →