Kilmarnock 1:3 Hibernian: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Saturday, 03/01/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock Home 0.70 xG

Hibernian Away 2.65 xG

13 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Kilmarnock Hibernian

Shots: 8; 15
On target: 1; 9
Inside the box: 6; 9
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.18

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Kilmarnock

1.02 xG created 2.02 xGA

D 1.75 created, 2.19 conceded against Heart of Midlothian
L 0.66 created, 0.75 conceded against Rangers
L 1.02 created, 3.53 conceded against Aberdeen
L 0.87 created, 1.46 conceded against Falkirk FC
D 0.52 created, 1.96 conceded against St. Mirren
L 1.27 created, 2.23 conceded against Dundee FC

Hibernian

1.34 xG created 1.19 xGA

L 1.66 created, 0.90 conceded against Celtic
W 2.06 created, 1.15 conceded against Falkirk FC
L 0.53 created, 1.84 conceded against Rangers
D 1.26 created, 0.82 conceded against Dundee United
W 0.88 created, 1.91 conceded against Heart of Midlothian
W 1.65 created, 0.54 conceded against Aberdeen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Kilmarnock: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Hibernian 2:2 Kilmarnock 10/08/2025 xG 1.77 – 0.94

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.