Hibernian 3:2 Heart of Midlothian: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Saturday, 27/12/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Hibernian Home 0.88 xG

Heart of Midlothian Away 1.91 xG

32 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Hibernian Heart of Midlothian

Shots: 12; 16
On target: 7; 7
Inside the box: 9; 9
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.12

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Hibernian

1.43 xG created 1.39 xGA

W 2.31 created, 1.46 conceded against Dundee FC
L 0.77 created, 2.14 conceded against Motherwell
L 1.66 created, 0.90 conceded against Celtic
W 2.06 created, 1.15 conceded against Falkirk FC
L 0.53 created, 1.84 conceded against Rangers
D 1.26 created, 0.82 conceded against Dundee United

Heart of Midlothian

1.49 xG created 1.15 xGA

L 2.81 created, 0.63 conceded against Aberdeen
D 0.41 created, 0.66 conceded against Motherwell
D 2.19 created, 1.75 conceded against Kilmarnock
W 0.50 created, 1.86 conceded against Celtic
W 1.50 created, 1.03 conceded against Falkirk FC
W 1.50 created, 0.94 conceded against Rangers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Hibernian: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Heart of Midlothian 1:0 Hibernian 04/10/2025 xG 0.80 – 0.43

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.