Kilmarnock 4:3 St. Mirren: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Wednesday, 11/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock Home 2.70 xG

St. Mirren Away 1.88 xG

43 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Kilmarnock St. Mirren

Shots: 20; 15
On target: 7; 7
Inside the box: 12; 11
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.13

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Kilmarnock

1.38 xG created 2.07 xGA

L 1.27 created, 2.23 conceded against Dundee FC
L 0.70 created, 2.65 conceded against Hibernian
D 2.03 created, 1.32 conceded against Livingston
L 0.49 created, 2.71 conceded against Motherwell
W 2.45 created, 0.66 conceded against Aberdeen
L 1.35 created, 2.84 conceded against Rangers

St. Mirren

1.12 xG created 1.16 xGA

L 0.52 created, 1.76 conceded against Motherwell
L 0.70 created, 0.67 conceded against Falkirk FC
L 0.98 created, 2.11 conceded against Heart of Midlothian
D 1.41 created, 1.32 conceded against Livingston
D 1.00 created, 0.82 conceded against Dundee FC
W 2.12 created, 0.25 conceded against Heart of Midlothian

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Kilmarnock: 1 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.