Bologna 2:1 Genoa: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Serie A

Bologna Home 1.59 xG · 14 shots

Genoa Away 0.53 xG · 7 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

63' Mikael Ellertsson Genoa · 0.14 xG chance 0–1
73' Santiago Castro Bologna · 0.10 xG chance 1–1
90' Riccardo Orsolini (pen.) Bologna · 0.82 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Bologna Genoa

Shots: 14; 7
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 12; 5
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.52; 0.37
Set-piece xG: 0.30; 0.17
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.80 for Bologna and 0.55 for Genoa.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.18 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bologna
Genoa
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bologna

0.62 xG created 1.08 xGA

L 0.58 created, 1.56 conceded against Roma
W 1.10 created, 0.69 conceded against Como
L 0.17 created, 1.00 conceded against Milan

Genoa

1.13 xG created 1.08 xGA

D 0.50 created, 0.37 conceded against Lecce
L 0.55 created, 1.03 conceded against Juventus
D 2.34 created, 1.83 conceded against Como

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.