Cagliari 4:0 Hellas Verona: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Cagliari Home 1.68 xG · 14 shots

Hellas Verona Away 0.46 xG · 9 shots

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

36' Luca Mazzitelli Cagliari · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
45' Semih Kılıçsoy Cagliari · 0.20 xG chance 2–0
84' Ibrahim Sulemana Cagliari · 0.96 xG chance 3–0
90' Riyad Idrissi Cagliari · 0.20 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

Cagliari Hellas Verona

Shots: 14; 9
On target: 7; 3
Inside the box: 6; 6
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.47; 0.15
Set-piece xG: 1.38; 0.31
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.85 for Cagliari.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.31 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Cagliari
Hellas Verona
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Cagliari

0.90 xG created 1.45 xGA

W 0.77 created, 1.60 conceded against Torino
L 0.38 created, 0.70 conceded against Milan
D 1.80 created, 1.81 conceded against Cremonese
L 1.26 created, 1.08 conceded against Genoa
W 0.11 created, 1.35 conceded against Juventus
W 1.08 created, 2.15 conceded against Fiorentina

Hellas Verona

0.85 xG created 1.14 xGA

L 0.14 created, 1.55 conceded against Torino
D 1.82 created, 1.22 conceded against Napoli
L 0.53 created, 0.90 conceded against Lazio
L 1.20 created, 0.79 conceded against Bologna
D 0.51 created, 0.73 conceded against Cremonese
L 0.88 created, 1.67 conceded against Udinese

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Cagliari: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Hellas Verona 2:2 Cagliari 26/10/2025 xG 2.02 – 0.44

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.