Cagliari 1:0 Juventus: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Cagliari Home 0.11 xG · 3 shots

Juventus Away 1.35 xG · 21 shots

10 The result went against the chances

Goals

65' Luca Mazzitelli Cagliari · 0.02 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Cagliari Juventus

Shots: 3; 21
On target: 1; 5
Inside the box: 3; 11
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.01; 0.85
Set-piece xG: 0.13; 0.50
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.15 for Cagliari.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 1.49 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Cagliari
Juventus
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Cagliari

1.03 xG created 1.72 xGA

L 0.54 created, 2.60 conceded against Atalanta
D 1.43 created, 2.54 conceded against Pisa
W 0.77 created, 1.60 conceded against Torino
L 0.38 created, 0.70 conceded against Milan
D 1.80 created, 1.81 conceded against Cremonese
L 1.26 created, 1.08 conceded against Genoa

Juventus

2.45 xG created 0.67 xGA

W 1.68 created, 0.55 conceded against Bologna
W 2.55 created, 1.44 conceded against Roma
W 1.74 created, 0.65 conceded against Pisa
D 2.77 created, 0.26 conceded against Lecce
W 2.57 created, 0.21 conceded against Sassuolo
W 3.40 created, 0.90 conceded against Cremonese

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Cagliari: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Juventus 2:1 Cagliari 29/11/2025 xG 1.71 – 0.54

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.