Juventus 2:1 Roma: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 20/12/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Juventus Home 2.55 xG · 13 shots

Roma Away 1.44 xG · 14 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

44' Francisco Conceição Juventus · 0.15 xG chance 1–0
70' Loïs Openda Juventus · 0.92 xG chance 2–0
75' Tommaso Baldanzi Roma · 0.64 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Juventus Roma

Shots: 13; 14
On target: 9; 5
Inside the box: 9; 9
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.11
Open play xG: 2.49; 1.21
Set-piece xG: 0.13; 0.27
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.57 for Juventus and 1.46 for Roma.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 4.10 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Juventus
Roma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Juventus

1.40 xG created 0.74 xGA

W 2.03 created, 0.54 conceded against Cremonese
D 1.21 created, 0.54 conceded against Torino
D 1.50 created, 0.58 conceded against Fiorentina
W 1.71 created, 0.54 conceded against Cagliari
L 0.29 created, 1.66 conceded against Napoli
W 1.68 created, 0.55 conceded against Bologna

Roma

1.24 xG created 1.48 xGA

L 1.95 created, 3.32 conceded against Milan
W 1.53 created, 1.08 conceded against Udinese
W 1.90 created, 0.89 conceded against Cremonese
L 0.52 created, 1.17 conceded against Napoli
L 0.36 created, 1.80 conceded against Cagliari
W 1.16 created, 0.60 conceded against Como

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.